DOW-UAP-D175, BAASS Self-Assessment of UAP Analysis Capabilities, November 2010
This document is an administrative, programmatic, or contractor-produced record related to the Advanced Aerospace Weapon System Applications Program (AAWSAP), a Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA)-administered program active from 2008 to 2012. AAWSAP’s official scope of work identified 12 technical research areas relating to potential aerospace threats over a time horizon of more than 40 years. As part of the broader program record, the file documents how AAWSAP was scoped, organized, tasked, funded, executed, or described at a particular point in time. This November 2010 Bigelow Aerospace Advanced Space Studies (BAASS) contractor-authored capability statement presents BAASS’s analysis as technically rigorous and strategically valuable. The document appears intended not only to describe BAASS’s analytical capabilities but also to reinforce the case for the organization’s continued relevance and for the continuation of AAWSAP. The document summarizes the company’s self-assessment of the suitability of its personnel, software, equipment, field sensor, and data warehousing capabilities for analyzing unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) and unidentified submerged objects (USOs). It includes excerpted case findings and uses selected case studies and modeling exercises as demonstrations of BAASS’s analytical capabilities. The report describes BAASS as combining field collection resources, historical databases, and computational tools such as ANSYS Multiphysics to model UAP incidents through engineering and physics analysis, including work on radar cross section, fluid behavior, acoustics, and aerodynamic performance. It also presents BAASS’s in-house capabilities as supporting both threat assessment and the study of advanced aerospace technologies, while asserting that analysis of UAP performance characteristics could inform future developments in propulsion, stealth, detection, and weapons systems.
The summary above is sourced from the released file metadata as published to war.gov. The analysis sections below are original to this tracker.
Text of the document
Machine-extracted from the PDF war.gov published (its text layer or OCR), so expect errors, especially in names, numbers and handwriting; the PDF is the authoritative copy. Lines that did not extract as readable text are left out. Showing about 996 words from pages 3, 4, 5, 6 of 141.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................................ 4 LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................................... 9 2.2 BAASS' TWELVE TECHNOLOGY FOCUS AREAS .................................................. 14 2.3 BAASS PERSONNEL, SOFTWARE, EQUIPMENT AND DATA 4. ANALYTICAL AND NUMERICAL SOLUTIONS FOR UAP INVESTIGATIONS ........... 25 4.1.1 Analytical Solutions ofVelocities and Accelerations Associated with "Tic Tac" Performance ............................................................................................ 32 4.1.2 Summary ofAnalytical Velocity and Acceleration Solutions ................................. 32 4.1.4 Summary and Conclusions of Compressible Numerical Analyses. ......................... 46 4.1.5 Numerical Analysis of Incompressible Flow ofa UAP Entering Water ................. 47 4.1.6 Numerical Analysis of Incompressible Flow ofa UAP Entering Water 4.1.7 Summary and Conclusions ofNumerical Analysis ofIncompressible Flow of a UAP Entering Water Results ............................................................................ 58 4.2.1 Acoustical Analysis ofa Spherical USO ................................................................. 58 4.2.3 Radar Cross Section Analysis ofa Spherical UFO .................................................. 83 5. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION......................................................................................... 98 SYMBOLS AND ACRONYMS ................................................................................................ 102 Summary Report on BAASS UAP Analysis Capabilities Page 2
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USO ANSYS Multiphysics Acoustics Input File Example .................................................... 105 UAP ANSYS Multiphysics RCS Input File Example ............................................................ 112 ATTACHMENT II - "TIC TAC" CFD CONTOUR PLOTS FOR PRESSURE, TEMPERATURE AND MACH NUMBER............................................................................... 116 ATTACHMENT III - RIGHT CIRCULAR CYLINDER CFD CONTOUR PLOTS FOR PRESSURE, TEMPERATURE AND MACH NUMBER ................................................ 128 Summary Report on BAASS UAP Analysis Capabilities Page 3
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LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. The UFO Pattern: A Condensed Statement ofRepeated Observations ........................ 21 Figure 2. Lockheed Martin Skunk Works SR-71 Black Bird ....................................................... 22 Figure 4. Northrop Grumman B-2 Spirit Stealth Bomber ............................................................ 23 Figure 6. Three Dimensional Rendering ofa Cylindrical or "Tic Tac" UAP .............................. 24 Figure 7. Three Dimensional Rendering ofa Metallic Spherical UAP ........................................ 24 Figure 8. Location of the AAV during the F/AI 8 Intercept ......................................................... 26 Figure 9. FLIR in 'White Hot' Mode ............................................................................................ 30 Figure 10. FLIR in "Black I-lot" mode .......................................................................................... 30 Figure 11. Tic Tac Parametric Velocities for Selected Times of Event Duration Figure 12. Tic Tac Parametric Velocities for Selected Times of Event Duration Figure 13. Tic Tac Parametric Accelerations for Selected Times ofEvent Duration Figure 14. Tic Tac Parametric Accelerations for Selected Times ofEvent Duration Figure 15. Tic Tac Pressure at I /6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 700 mph with Mixed Inlet and Supersonic Outlet ..................................................................... 41 Figure 16. Tic Tac Temperature at 1/ 6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 700 mph with Mixed Inlet and Supersonic Outlet ..................................................................... 41 Figure 17. Tic Tac Mach Number at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 700 mph with Mixed Inlet and Supersonic Outlet.. ................................................................... 42 Figure 18. Tic Tac Pressure at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 1500 mph with Supersonic Inlet and Supersonic Outlet.. ............................................................ 42 Figure 19. Tic Tac Temperature at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 1500 mph with Supersonic Inlet and Supersonic Outlet .............................................................. 43 Figure 20. Tic Tac Mach Number at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 1500 mph with Supersonic Inlet and Supersonic Outlet.. ............................................................ 43 Figure 21. Cylinder Temperature at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 700 mph with Mixed lnlet and Supersonic Outlet ..................................................................... 44 Figure 22. Cylinder Mach Number at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 700 mph with Mixed lnlet and Supersonic Outlet ..................................................................... 44 Figure 23. Cylinder Pressure at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 1500 mph with Supersonic Inlet and Supersonic Outlet.. ............................................................ 45 Figure 24. Cylinder Temperature at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 1500 mph with Supersonic lnlet and Supersonic Outlet.. ............................................................ 45 Figure 25. Cylinder Mach Number at 1/6 Scale, Air Temperature 223K and 1500 mph with Supersonic Inlet and Supersonic Outlet.. ............................................................ 46 Figure 26. Solid Three Dimensional Geometry ofDisc and Water. ............................................. 50 Figure 27. Solid Three Dimensional Geometry Mesh ofDisc and Water .................................... 51 Figure 28. Solid Three Dimensional Geometry Mesh ofUAP Disc ............................................ 52 Summary Report on BAASS UAP Analysis Capabilities Page4
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Figure 29. User Generated Cut Analysis Plane ............................................................................ 53 Figure 30. Animated Result, Fluid 2 Volume Fraction................................................................ 54 Figure 31. Total Pressure Around UAP ....................................................................................... 55 Figure 32. Water Surface Effects From Solid Impact.. ................................................................ 56 Figure 33. Water Surface Effects From Solid Impact (Side View) .............................................. 57 Figure 34. Mesh Plot for 1,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water. ........................ 61 Figure 35. Mesh Plot for 1,000 Hz with 50 Elements per Wavelength in Water ......................... 62 Figure 36. Contour Plot ofReal Component ofPressure (Pa) for t ,000 Hz with 50 Elements per Wavelength in Water ............................................................... 63 Figure 37. Contour Plot ofReal Component ofPressure (Pa) for 1,000 Hz with 50 Elements per Wavelength in Water ............................................................... 64 Figure 38. Contour Plot of Imaginary Component ofPressure (Pa) for 1,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water ............................................................... 65 Figure 39. Contour Plot of the Magnitude ofPressure (Pa) for 1,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water ............................................................... 66 Figure 40. Steady State Real Component of Pressure (Pa) as a Function of Radial Distance (m) Plot for 1,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water. ............ 67 Figure 41 . Steady State Imaginary Component of Pressure (Pa) as a Function of Radial Distance (m) Plot for 1,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength Figure 42. Steady State Magnitude ofPressure (Pa) as a Function ofRadial Distance (m) Plot for 1,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water. ............ 69 Figure 43. Contour Plot ofReal Component ofPressure (Pa) for 5,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water ............................................................... 70 Figure 44. Contour Plot of Imaginary Component ofPressure (Pa) for 5,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water ............................................................... 71 Figure 45. Contour Plot of the Magnitude ofPressure (Pa) for 5,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water ............................................................... 72 Figure 46. Steady State Real Component of Pressure (Pa) as a Function of Radial Distance (m) Plot for 5,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength in Water....................................................................................................................... 73 Figure 47. Steady State Imaginary Component ofPressure (Pa) as a Function of Radial Distance (m) Plot for 5,000 Hz with 25 Elements per Wavelength Figure 48. Steady State Magnitude of Pressure (Pa) as a Function ofRadial
Where this file fits in the PURSUE archive
This file is one of DoD's 282 files in the Trump PURSUE disclosure. Within the DoD agency block it ranks #278 of 282 by Anomalousness Index. Across the entire 478-file archive it ranks #453 of 478.
That places it in the lower-scoring band of the archive (453 of 478 by score), typical of investigative-record style files where the report is paper-based rather than instrumented.
Anomalousness Index: 53/100
Evidentiary weight that this encounter remains unexplained after conventional analysis. Not a probability of extraterrestrial origin - that number is not honestly computable from the released files and this tracker refuses to publish it.
🤖 AI-ASSISTED SCORING · methodology
The six rubric components break down for this file as follows. Each component has a weighted contribution to the final score; the per-component explanation below describes what this file's particular value on that component means in the rubric's framework.
Reported by a witness with no instrumented record. The lowest tier in the rubric's sensor axis. Eyewitness perception in field conditions, even when the witness is highly credentialed, scores below capture by any instrumented modality. This report reached the federal record through the Department of War.
Trained U.S. military personnel reporting from an operational mission context. A high witness-credibility tier, ranked in the rubric below astronaut, trained-aviator, and federal-agent testimony. This is the witness profile shared by the entire AARO-submitted infrared-capture cluster that anchors the 66-point score band.
Single-witness or single-instrument capture. This is the corroboration tier for the overwhelming majority of the PURSUE archive on the released metadata - the rubric records the honest limit of the underlying record rather than inferring multi-witness corroboration that the released summaries do not establish. A small number of files with an independent second witness or instrument score on the multi-witness/multi-instrument tier above this one.
No kinematic measurements - speed, acceleration, vector - are published in the released file with sufficient precision to score on the kinematic axis. The rubric does not infer kinematic anomaly from narrative observer estimates. Every file in the archive carries this value, which is itself an observation about the disclosure: kinematic-grade telemetry was not part of what was released.
A conventional candidate explanation has been considered but is not dispositive. Every file in the archive scores this way - reflecting that the underlying release metadata systematically caveats strong determinations in either direction. The released summaries warn against reading them as conclusive analytical judgments, and the rubric respects that.
Catalogued as unresolved with no formal review process having concluded. This is the disposition for a large share of the archive's military infrared captures - the reports are logged into the system as unresolved, but no formal review has finalized. The rubric distinguishes this from 'open after review' because the absence of review is itself a status signal.
Bottom line on the score: the Anomalousness Index of 53/100 reflects evidentiary weight that this specific file's encounter remains structurally unexplained by the rubric's six axes - it is not a claim that the underlying event involved anything non-conventional, and it is not comparable across rubrics that use different weights. For the full per-axis weights and the rubric JSON, see /methodology.
Related files in DoD
Other PURSUE files in the same category, ranked by Anomalousness Index.
DOW-UAP-PR024, Unresolved UAP Report, Middle East, 2023
DOW-UAP-PR072, "ADMINISTRATIVE REVISION: IIR 1777 J0032 22 Kazakhstan - UAP in the vicinit…
DOW-UAP-PR106, Unresolved UAP Report, Eastern United States, 2020
DOW-UAP-PR108, Unresolved UAP Report, Western United States, 2020
DOW-UAP-PR109, Unresolved UAP Report, Eastern United States, 2015
DOW-UAP-PR110, Unresolved UAP Report, Eastern United States, 2020
Verification
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